Feb 11, 2026
4 min read
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State of Bitcoin Mining: February 2026

By Allison Hayes
State of Bitcoin Mining: February 2026

Bitcoin is down 46% from its October 2025 peak of $126,210. The Fear and Greed Index has remained in "Extreme Fear" for a week. Mining hardware prices are at multi-year lows. Experienced operators know this environment is where long-term positions are built.

The Current Landscape

Bitcoin trades near $67,500 in mid-February 2026. The market shed 26% in the last month alone. Sentiment collapsed alongside price.

The Fear and Greed Index spent seven consecutive days below 15. Readings below 25 indicate "Extreme Fear." This level of sustained fear last occurred during the 2022 bear market. That period proved to be one of the best buying windows for mining infrastructure in Bitcoin's history.

Extended fear shakes out short-term speculators. It creates opportunities for operators with patient capital and longer time horizons.

Network Fundamentals

Network fundamentals remain high despite price action. The hashrate holds near all-time highs. Miners with efficient operations and low energy costs are not shutting off. They are expanding.

The difficulty adjustment recently dropped after winter storms in the United States forced temporary curtailment. This mechanism functions as designed. It improves economics for the resilient operators who stayed online.

Price is down but the network is healthy. The infrastructure layer hums regardless of daily spot market volatility.

The Hardware Opportunity

ASIC hardware prices correlate with Bitcoin price and market sentiment. High fear and low BTC prices drive hardware costs down. Capital expenditure for building mining capacity is significantly lower during downturns.

Market dynamics:

  • Lower entry cost: The same budget secures more hashrate than during bull runs.
  • Efficiency gains: Next-generation machines like the Antminer S21 Pro (15 J/TH) are available at competitive prices as manufacturers move inventory.
  • Positioning for recovery: Infrastructure deployed now captures the full upside without deployment delays when prices turn.

Operators who built in 2022 saw their cost basis validated when Bitcoin moved from $16,000 to over $100,000. Infrastructure is cheapest when demand is low.

Mining Versus Spot Purchase

Accredited investors often ask why they should mine instead of buying spot BTC. Mining offers structural advantages that a straightforward purchase cannot match.

Cost basis below spot. Efficient mining operations produce Bitcoin at a cost per coin below market price. This margin does not exist on an exchange.

Infrastructure as an asset. Mining hardware is a depreciable business asset. Tax treatment differs fundamentally from holding digital assets.

Multiple appreciation vectors. Investment value can grow through price increases, hashrate expansion, efficiency gains and hardware value retention. Spot BTC only moves on price.

Direct custody. Properly structured investments deliver mined Bitcoin to the investor wallet. This eliminates custodial risk and counterparty exposure.

Evaluating Operations

Investors must focus on specific metrics during due diligence:

  • Operational track record. Success during a bull run is easy. Surviving a bear market proves discipline.
  • Geographic diversification. Mining across multiple jurisdictions reduces risks from regulatory shifts, weather or utility disruptions.
  • Energy strategy. Energy is the largest ongoing cost. Operators with competitive power agreements or low-cost sources hold a compounding advantage.
  • Transparency. Investors must be able to verify hashrate and track coin distributions in real time.
  • Structure. Clean investor-friendly structures with direct custody are the standard.

The Cycle in Context

Bitcoin markets are cyclical. Bull runs build on supply shocks and institutional adoption. Corrections follow as leverage unwinds and speculative excess clears.

The 46% drawdown operates within historical norms. Every previous cycle saw similar corrections before recovery.

This cycle features superior institutional infrastructure. Spot ETFs, regulated custody and publicly traded miners provide the plumbing for capital flow. Recovery often happens faster than the market expects once sentiment shifts.

Investor Implications

The current environment offers advantages missing six months ago:

  1. Reduced capital requirements for equivalent hashrate.
  2. Depressed sentiment lowering competition for quality deals.
  3. Strong network fundamentals despite price weakness.
  4. Operational capacity available from proven partners.

Hardware prices will recover with sentiment. Operators who deploy during fear produce Bitcoin at the lowest cost basis when the market turns.

About Insight Services

Insight Services has operated Bitcoin mining infrastructure since April 2022 across five U.S. locations. Our 21M investment vehicle offers accredited investors direct participation with self-custody of mined Bitcoin.

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This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Bitcoin mining involves significant risk, including the potential loss of invested capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment opportunities described here are available to accredited investors only.

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